Devolution Proposals

Local Government Reorganisation rears its ugly head once more

I have been trying to find time to write a blog setting out my thoughts on Local Government Reorganisation (LGR), ever since the Labour Group passed a motion to merge Basildon with Thurrock back in November, which understandably raised a few hackles with my residents, given Thurrock's precarious financial position. But, in fact, LGR has been in the offing for years. It has now taken a decisive step forward, following a vote last week at Essex County Council (ECC), along with the publication of the Labour Government’s White Paper last month, which could lead to the biggest shakeup of local government since the 1970s.

LGR is a tortured subject in Basildon, where is has long been a pet project of the Labour Leader, Gavin Callaghan, who harbours a pathological hatred of ECC – though he is far from alone. Labour leaders always hate county councils. I could not possibly speculate why. Although, apropos of nothing, not a single county council in this country is run by Labour. Dissatisfaction with ECC is not, however, reserved for Labour. I remember my colleague Phil Turner, when he was Conservative Leader, advocating a break with ECC. There have been other advocates on my own side, not least my old friend the late Luke Mackenzie, who long argued passionately for unitary status for Basildon. I suspect people have been calling for Basildon to be unitary for as long as there has been a Basildon. Personally, I have tended to be a sceptic.

My gut instinct is that, whatever the desirability of unitarisation, Basildon is just too small. We do not have a big enough tax base to fund the services we would be expected to provide – highways, looked-after children, adult social care, etcetera. We currently have two existing unitaries in Essex – Thurrock Borough Council and Southend-on-Sea City Council. I think both are too small and should probably never have been made unitaries. That view seems borne out in Thurrock, where they are in a terrible financial pickle thanks to a risky investment strategy adopted precisely because they were pursuing additional revenue to fund services. Nevertheless, in recent years the clamour for reform has grown increasingly noisome.   

Indeed, so certain was Councillor Callaghan that LGR was “inevitable” that in 2019, the last time he took power in Basildon, I found myself serving on the rather presumptuously named ‘Local Government Reorganisation and Transition Committee’. It did not happen, of course. Then, as now, any one of a myriad of things can happen to snarl up these cunning plans. But LGR has hung around like a bad smell, and some form of change does now seem likely.

 

“LGR is a tortured subject here in Basildon, where is has long been a pet project of the Labour Leader, Gavin Callaghan, who harbours a pathological hatred of ECC”

 

Many of you will have seen reports that the Labour Government has invited councils to move to a new local government model, establishing larger, multi-area unitary councils operating beneath combined authorities headed by directly elected regional mayors.

As I say, this is nothing new. George Osborne advocated this years ago, and it was a pipe dream of Boris Johnson. ECC, along with Thurrock and Southend, have been in talks to establish a ‘Greater Essex Combined Authority’ for some time. Things have now progressed with the White Paper and, in addition to abolishing ECC, we could also see Basildon Council merged with one or more neighbouring authorities to form a larger single unitary, combining many of the powers from both councils into one. There would also be an elected ‘Mayor of Greater Essex’, who would have further powers devolved to them by Central Government.

ECC have now written to the Government, requesting inclusion in the ‘Priority Programme for devolution’. They have also, controversially, requested the cancellation of this year’s county elections, currently scheduled for May. The decision now sits with the Secretary of State, Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, who is expected to give a yay or nay later this month.

The timescale for all of this is, of course, appallingly cynical, with the White Paper unveiled before Christmas alongside changes to the National Planning Policy Framework and the announcement of the Local Government Finance Settlement. It could not be more obviously calculated to avoid scrutiny and push through sweeping changes.

Cancelling Democracy

I will be clear. I am wholly opposed to the cancellation of the county elections in May. I listened to the debate at County Hall and, while I accept the strength of some of the arguments for cancelling them – not least the cost of holding elections to an authority that looks poised to be abolished - I simply do not believe it is justified. It will take years to set up a new combined authority to replace ECC and will mean the current crop of county councillors serving far beyond the expiration of their mandates. I do not believe that is acceptable and I believe Conservative colleagues at County Hall have been somewhat bamboozled, and are playing into the hands of Labour, who are desperate to avoid local elections in the face of their party’s increasingly stark unpopularity.

 

“I will be clear. I am wholly opposed to the cancellation of the county elections in May.”

 

In terms of next steps, I shall be watching developments closely. I concede LGR is far from ‘sexy’, and may not grab the interest of everyone, but our services directly impact your everyday life, from bin collections, street cleaning and highways, to SEN provision, schools and social care. I would encourage everyone to pay close attention to, and engage with, the discussions that will now take place in the coming weeks and months.

Allow me to dwell on the past, for a moment…

As your borough councillor, I naturally have mixed emotions about the prospect of Basildon Council ceasing to exist. The Council, in its current form, was created in 1974 as ‘Basildon District Council’ (achieving borough status in 2010). Prior to that, the Basildon Urban District Council had existed since 1955, when it was created out of the old Billericay Urban District, reflecting the growth of Basildon since the creation of the New Town in 1949. The Urban District had itself been created in 1934 out of the Billericay Rural District, a far larger district created in 1894, when local government was in its infancy, and covering an area that included much of what is today Brentwood and Chelmsford.

I have now sat on the Council for coming on 12 years, since the residents of Billericay East did me the great honour of voting for me to represent their interests in the 2013 by-election. They have subsequently re-elected me four times, which remains one of the proudest achievements and humbling privileges of my life. It does, however, still make me a relative ‘newbie’ in the context of the life and history of our borough.

 

“As your borough councillor, I naturally have mixed emotions about the prospect of Basildon Council ceasing to exist.”

 

Likewise, the abolition of ECC would end that body’s 136-year history, it having been created under the Local Government Act (1888). ECC is a body onto which I have pursued no less than three thwarted attempts to get elected over the past decade, most recently in 2021 (when I came within a couple of hundred votes of winning a seat). Ironically, the Boundary Commission only just completed a review of new county divisions, which are due to be contested for the first time this year. I had been contemplating a fourth run but that whole exercise may turn out to have been a colossal waste of time, and my long-standing ambition to go to County Hall shall remain unfulfilled.

Looking to the future

Personally, I have always been open-minded about an Essex Mayor. Go big or go home. Devolution is not worth doing if you do not go for the elected mayor and get the full raft of additional powers only available to a mayoral authority. It is not worth doing without the mayor. We have seen what can be achieved by the likes of Sir Andy Street in the West Midlands and Lord Houchen in the Tees Valley, but I think I would probably have preferred greater powers for existing borough and district councils than full, very disruptive LGR. That is, however, not the direction Labour is taking us.

As a ‘small state’ Conservative, I am inherently suspicious of these proposed 'super-unitary' councils, which I fear will be expensive to set up and take local decision-making further away from the people they are supposed to serve. But the Government wants larger councils of around 500,000 residents, and there seems little opportunity to change that.

I should stress, whatever my misgivings, it can hardly be said I have been an unalloyed admirer of the current two-tier arrangement. Too often residents are left confused over which council does what. I have had many first-hand experiences of these frustrations myself, as I am sure many of you have. Frequently, services have too much overlap, which, creates inefficiencies, while others are disjointed, leading to poor outcomes. I also believe for some services, specifically education, SEN, and adult and child social care, ECC is too large to provide a truly localised strategy to support the specific needs of our communities.

 

“I think it would make more sense to create a single ‘South Essex’ unitary, but I also feel increasingly strongly that Billericay should not be included.”

 

Whilst we currently have no idea what a future unitary council that includes Basildon Borough might look like, the consolidation of responsibility at a more local level could be for the better for Billericay, and Basildon Borough as a whole. I will be examining proposals for a single unitary authority most carefully.

Basildon Labour have made clear they want to combine with Thurrock to form a new 'South-West Essex Council' (or, as I call it, “Basrock”), which I frankly think is bonkers. Meanwhile, their plan would see Castle Point, Rochford and Southend form a new ‘South-East Essex Council’. I do not believe this will find favour with the Government, as they have specified unitaries with populations of around 500K. ‘Basrock’ would be around 360,000, as would ‘S-E Essex’.

I think it would make more sense to create a single ‘South Essex’ unitary, but I also feel increasingly strongly that Billericay should not be included. Instead, I think we should take the opportunity of LGR to finally remove Billericay from Basildon Borough, and go in with Brentwood, Chelmsford and Maldon into the proposed ‘Mid-Essex Council’ – what I am calling “Billerexit”. 

This would essentially take us back to something akin to the old Billericay districts of nearly a century ago, and to our suburban semi-rural roots.  

Billerexit

I do not believe the best interests of either Billericay or Basildon are really served by lumping us together, as we have been for the past 70-odd years. The differences and disparities between our communities have widened increasingly over the decades and are now enormous. All the Borough’s statistics are completely warped by the fact you have an area with pockets of serious poverty and deprivation tethered to an area north of the A127 that is relatively wealthy and socially mobile. It completely skews perceptions about both, particularly when it comes to accessing funding and support.

If you consider, on paper, Basildon is one of the most affluent places in Essex, with an average income of somewhere in the region of £36,500. However, that average is for the borough, not the town. The higher incomes enjoyed by residents in Billericay and Wickford obscure the fact that there are parts of Basildon with net incomes that barely exceed £20,000. This clearly disadvantages the New Town and its residents, as the Borough is not being prioritised for support as it should be.

 

“[M]y years as a Billericay councillor on Basildon Council have certainly been an eye-opener, marred by Billericay’s position as a sort of ‘whipping boy’ for many people in the New Town, thanks to persistent myths spread by Labour and the Independents.”

 

I have always hitherto been a staunch defender of Basildon Borough and bought into the ‘One Borough’ philosophy espoused by successive Basildon Tory leaders. Indeed, I was born in Basildon Hospital and, when I was a lad at Billericay School, many of my friends were from Basildon. I have lived and worked in Basildon my entire life. Up until quite recently, the proportion of my life spent living in Billericay and that spent living south of the Arterial was about fifty-fifty. Over the years, I lived in Laindon, in a flat in Basildon Town Centre, in Vange, in Langdon Hills. I feel very much a genuine ‘child of the Borough’, deeply rooted in communities both sides of the ‘127. I still feel that way, but my years as a Billericay councillor on Basildon Council have certainly been an eye-opener, marred by Billericay’s position as a sort of ‘whipping boy’ for many people in the New Town, thanks to persistent myths spread by Labour and the Independents.

There are perceptions, entirely false, that ‘posh’ Billericay has been consistently ‘protected’, and that all the money gets spent here. This is held up as the source of all the New Town’s ills and Labour and the Indies refer to us in their literature as the “Billericay-Tories”. To be fair, there is also a fair amount of snobbery directed at Basildon from Billericay, which I always deprecate, albeit on the not unreasonable grounds that our town is treated like a ‘cash cow’ by people who will never miss an opportunity to slag us off. LGR would be a good opportunity to cleanly sunder this largely loveless marriage. One big challenge will be for Labour and the Indies to decide on whom to blame their failings, once they no longer have Billericay to kick around, but I suspect the larger challenge will be convincing them that their new super-unitary can do without Billericay’s money (which I suspect it can’t). They loathe us, but they do rather like our cash!

Next steps

It remains to be seen whether Mrs Rayner will smile upon any of these plans. In any event, it will be years before any new unitaries are set up and operational. The earliest a new mayoral authority could be up-and-running is May 2026, which could mean the cancellation of borough elections that year.

Not wishing to leave anything to chance, Basildon Labour want to make sure they can dodge the elections, so have a motion going to Full Council this week to consult on changing the electoral cycle in Basildon from election by thirds (as it always has been in the past) to full elections every four years. This is how desperate they are to avoid going to the polls. They feel the need to hedge their bets by seeking to alter the electoral cycle of a council they are simultaneously trying to abolish.

"[T]aken together Labour’s proposals amount to a mishmash of new tiers of government, and probably tax-rises to pay for it all."

Obviously, other than scrapping upcoming elections, the overall impact will not be felt for a long time but taken together Labour’s proposals amount to a mishmash of new tiers of government, and probably tax-rises to pay for it all.

I do fear this is a recipe for taking power away from communities and making local government less responsive to the needs of taxpayers. We must be watchful that Middle England is not once more remorselessly squeezed with higher taxes, rural communities given yet another kicking, and Labour’s rotten boroughs given grubby handouts without meaningful public sector reform. This is on top of Labour’s anti-democratic proposals to strip councillors of their powers to vote against planning applications, and Mrs Rayner’s new top-down housing targets, which has led to Basildon Labour’s Draft Basildon Local Plan for 27,000 houses – 5,000 of them in the Green Belt around Billericay.

 

“The interests of my residents have always come first and always will do for as long as I am a councillor.”

 

As your councillor, I can only assure you that I will not take this lying down. I will not be bullied or blackmailed into accepting a form of LGR that does not serve you, my constituents. Unfortunately, this is always the Labour way – imposing change by Whitehall fiat. Conservatives have always supported greater joint working and stronger local accountability through directly elected leaders, but there are many ways to do this, and local government should be ‘local’ to residents and respect proud local identities.

I will do all I can to scrutinise and stand up to Mrs Rayner’s socialist diktats. The interests of my residents have always come first and always will do for as long as I am a councillor.

My response to the Local Plan

Reg 18 Consultation due to close

Basildon Council's new Draft Local Plan proposes 27,000 new homes 

Everyone recognises that Basildon Borough Council must positively prepare a Local Plan. It does, however, need to be the right plan – one that meets the aspirations of local people and allows our communities to grow, whilst ensuring new developments are supported by adequate infrastructure and maintains the quality of life of existing residents.

No-one will get any argument from me that we need more homes to accommodate our growing population. Even more importantly, we need homes that are affordable. As a 42-year-old man with a young family still living in rented accommodation, I am acutely aware of the frustrated aspirations of multiple generations of people in this country, for whom the dream of homeownership seems increasingly unattainable. I do not want my son to grow up in a world where only his grandparents own their own home. I am far from a ‘NIMBY’.   

 

Indeed, most people I speak to in Billericay readily accept the need for housing. They recognise that this is a plan for the next 20 years, and are pragmatic that in a borough like ours, within the Metropolitan Green Belt, releasing some land for development may be justifiable, particularly if it is not fully meeting Green Belt policy objectives. Their concern, which I share, is that we ought to minimise the loss of irreplaceable Green Belt by robustly maximising the potential of brownfield sites. They are also not stupid. They see the Labour Government’s ‘Grey Belt’ chicanery for the intentionally subjective wooliness it is. We have already seen how this slight-of-hand policy will be used against us with the recent Laindon Road planning application, passed just this week, with Green Belt land downgraded as 'Grey Belt'. 
Crucially, what people understand is that none of this works unless we plan for the right number of homes.  

"Mrs Rayner has said 'Jump', and Gavin Callaghan and his colleagues have clicked their heels and said, 'How high?'" 

In this sense, the whole starting point of the emerging Draft Local Plan, upon which the Council is about to conclude its Regulation 18 consultation, is fundamentally wrong. We need more homes, but we simply do not need anything like as many as the 27,000-plus homes this new plan proposes. This number derives from our ‘Objectively Assessed Need’, as calculated using the ‘Standard Methodology’ outlined in the National Planning Policy Framework, recently amended under the auspices of the Deputy Prime Minister, Angela Rayner, who is also Secretary of State for Housing & Local Government. Mrs Rayner's feckless algorithm is both deaf and blind to the sustainability of our existing communities, and pumps out an unjustified housing target several orders of magnitude beyond actual local need. The target being imposed on us by the Labour Government is not remotely sustainable, and legitimate local constraints like Green Belt are simply dismissed.

The 27K homes proposed in the emerging Draft Local Plan would represent a 30% increase in the Borough’s population – potentially around 65,000 new residents. This is the equivalent of building Billericay and Wickford again. The Billericay Action Group have looked at credible data from the Office of National Statistics, and they have concluded that this is 3 or 4 times greater than realistic local housing need. Of these, approx. 17,000 will need to be built in our Green Belt – over 5,000 of them in and around Billericay. Much of this land is productive farmland – vital to our future food security.
It is clear to me that the current Labour Administration in Basildon has no intention of pushing back against these high numbers or taking on their own government, as the previous Conservative Administration intended to do. Mrs Rayner has said 'Jump', and Gavin Callaghan and his colleagues have clicked their heels and said, 'How high?' Councillor Callaghan and his Labour colleagues speak disingenuously about the 14,000 people on the Council’s housing waiting list, and the 11,000 24 to 35-year-olds who are still living at home, implying these new homes are needed for them. 

"Most ‘affordable housing’ is for rent at 80% of private rental levels, while 30% is for shared ownership (part purchase), which still requires a good, typically above average, income." 

The reality is that few of them will be able to afford a new-build house in this borough. If they could, they would not be applying for social housing. Not one of these 27K homes will be a Council house. Considering that a large proportion of this housing will be high-end, it is clear the excessive number is to support inward migration, not our own people. We all know that so-called ‘affordable housing’ is a misnomer. Most ‘affordable housing’ is for rent at 80% of private rental levels, while 30% is for shared ownership (part purchase), which still requires a good, typically above average, income. We already know that many people in this borough cannot afford rents any higher that 60% market rate, so even the ‘affordable housing’ is unaffordable to them.

Specific impact on Billericay East

Specific sites of concern to me as a ward councillor are Policy IF1 for limited infill of the Break Egg Hill plotlands area, which borders the Norsey Wood Site of Special Scientific Interest. This will harm the wildlife there. The policy map, however, reveals that the site is also far bigger than the existing plotlands. Policy H1 for 1,500 homes homes on Greens Farm Lane, adjacent to Beverley Rise, The Rising and Morris Avenue to the east, with more at the junction with Outwood Common Road at Snails Hall Farm. Between the two sites there is to be a proposed extension of the Mill Meadows Nature Reserve, which I broadly welcome. I know the Mill Meadows Society and others have been working with the developer to this aim for some time. Nonetheless, Mill Meadows is largely an ‘island’ surrounded by development on most sides. The Greens Farm Lane side is currently the largest open aspect, affording a critical wildlife corridor to the meadows. Maintaining this corridor through the proposed extension is crucial, as the developments either side would effectively close off much of the current openness. I remain concerned about the reclassification of the extension as ‘strategic open space’. The amount of land that will be afforded for this purpose is now decidedly hazy. It feels to me like one of the few community benefits outlined in any of the policy areas has been quietly downgraded.  

Policy AS2 (alternative site), off Potash Road, is also in my ward and an application for a development here was only relatively recently rejected by the Planning Inspectorate. In dismissing the appeal, the Inspector made it clear the rationale for a development here was unsound. Its inclusion in the Draft Local Plan is, therefore, baffling.
The 2023 Green Belt Study

Meanwhile, a new Green Belt Study has been introduced into the Evidence Base. Their report is an outrage. Central Government were clear the old review carried out in 2017 was sound - and based on actual site visits. Yet the Council has replaced it with an inferior desktop study, with no site visits, and which employs several contrivances to justify excessive Green Belt release. The Basildon Green Belt Study Final Report 2023 concludes, absurdly, that Billericay is not a ‘Large Built-Up Area’ under Green Belt Purpose 1 (checking urban sprawl), despite similar sized neighbouring towns like Brentwood, Rayleigh, Rochford and Shenfield all qualifying under Purpose 1. The Report also concludes that the Green Belt around Billericay “is not considered to contribute to the Setting or Special Character of the Town”. This justifies their conclusion that no harm will result from releasing land under Purpose 4 (to preserve the setting and special character of historic towns).

Anyone with a brain in their head can see that being set in the heart of Green Belt is central to Billericay’s historic setting and special character. How could it not be? Where do they find the halfwitted dullards that write this drivel?

Crucially, no land in the Borough is assessed as meeting Purpose 5 (to assist in urban regeneration), despite similar reports for Rochford District Council and Southend-on-Sea City Council, undertaken by the same consultancy, concluding “all Green Belt land is considered to make a strong contribution to Purpose 5”. All Green Belt, apart, it seems, from the Green Belt surrounding Billericay.

"'...[A]ll Green Belt land is considered to make a strong contribution to Purpose 5'. All Green Belt, apart, it seems, from the Green Belt surrounding Billericay."

Ultimately, Billericay’s Green Belt is only assessed against two of the five Purposes in the latest Report, which seriously disadvantages our town. It also represents, in just 6 short years, a near-total reversal of the findings of the 2017 Green Belt Study, with land assessed as high value, being found to have almost no value at all. I have been unable to find any other local authority in this position. Every other one I have looked at is having their Green Belt assessed against at least four of the five. This would appear to be inconsistent and drastically unsound.

No more Infrastructure First

There is also scant information in the Draft Local Plan regarding provision of infrastructure and services to support these proposed developments and the people who will live in them. The infrastructure in and around Billericay is already creaking at the seams and is little better elsewhere in the Borough.

We are already struggling to meet the needs of existing residents. Our schools and healthcare facilities are oversubscribed, our highway network is crumbling. These services are unlikely to cope with this scale of housebuilding without significant investment and delivery of infrastructure first. Instead, this plan caters for infrastructure provision ‘at the point of need’, meaning only once a development has been built and has people living in it may we possibly get some infrastructure (assuming developers do not find some cunning artifice by which to wriggle out of their Section 106 responsibilities in the intervening period).

What infrastructure does come, will come in dribs and drabs and far too late. New schools, hospitals, doctors’ surgeries, libraries, highways upgrades, etc., all take years to build. By the time they arrive, if they arrive, entire generations of residents will have been failed and the quality of life of existing residents ruined. It took nearly 10 years to deliver the new school to support the development that was built on the Dry Street pastures in Basildon. That is an entire generation of failed young people, who had to commute to schools elsewhere. 

Affordability

Fundamentally, the current housing crisis is an affordability crisis. Yet there is no evidence that simply building thousands more homes will do anything to make them more affordable. Most sensible economists agree that high prices and high rents are here to stay, irrespective of local plans. We all know there is little real incentive for anyone to reduce house prices. The Government, business, existing homeowners, none of them really want to see house prices fall, least of all developers. The only people who really want prices to fall are those looking to buy. Everyone else has a vested interest in keeping prices where they are and they will do nothing to jeopardise that.

The real issue is wages, which have fallen so far out of step with house prices and rent costs. This plan does nothing to close that gap. It is simply a developers’ charter. They have lobbied, and land-banked, and sat on extant permissions, refusing to build them out. This has impacted the Council’s housing land supply and delivery targets, fuelling pressure to release Green Belt (which is cheaper to develop and more profitable for developers). They have played the system like a fiddle, and we continue to dance to their tune.  

Conclusion

This consultation has been hopelessly inadequate. Despite being critical to the future of the entire borough, impacting every resident, the Council has pursued the laziest communications strategy conceivable. If you work for a living or are not on the Internet, there is a good chance you know nothing about this consultation. You will certainly have struggled to take part in it. The Council has relied exclusively on digital channels – mostly Facebook. I have seen few physical materials or notices. The barriers faced by the elderly or otherwise digitally excluded are considerable. The Council was sluggish in providing paper documents in the libraries. We were a third of the way through this consultation before a copy was provided in Billericay Library (only one copy available and kept behind the front desk, viewable only on request). No copy was provided even to Billericay Town Council.

A live event was held at the Chantry Centre with only 4 days’ notice. Even ward councillors were not informed in advance. The event was poorly attended and badly managed. An online ‘webinar’ was similarly poorly advertised. The Council has treated residents with barely concealed disinterest, bordering on contempt. Nobody seems interested in even pretending they care what residents think. The whole thing feels like a box-ticking exercise.  
Nevertheless, I strongly urge anyone who has not yet done so, to respond to the consultation before it closes on Sunday (January 12th).

 
Have Your Say Today - Basildon Local Plan - Commonplace

Labour's Draft Local Plan does nothing to benefit local people in Basildon Borough. If this plan is adopted, the housing ladder will remain as out of reach to us as it is today and will only exacerbate the other problems our communities face by overwhelming their local services. This is a plan to pointlessly sacrifice large swathes of the irreplaceable Green Belt that keeps our historic towns and villages separate and distinct. It will result in the coalescence of Billericay and many of its surrounding villages and lead to urban sprawl. More generally, it will turn Basildon, Billericay and Wickford into one giant overbuilt conurbation, with overwhelmed infrastructure.

We need a good Local Plan. This is a bad Local Plan. I will not support it and will vote against it at every opportunity. 

Review of 2024

 A difficult year but far from an annus horribilis

As we enter 2025, I wanted to say a few words about how things went during 2024.

Every year is a mixed bag but I can think of few years that have contained more dizzying personal highs, and misery-inducing lows than 2024. It is certainly not a year I shall ever forget. On the international stage, the appalling wars in the Ukraine and the Middle East continue unabated, while at home my party, the Conservative Party, suffered the most catastrophic General Election defeat in a generation. 

Westminster

Labour won a landslide election victory in the snap election called by Rishi Sunak in July, bringing to an end 14 years of Conservative rule. It was my party's worst electoral defeat in its long history - our largest defeat in purely numeric terms since 1761. We lost 252 parliamentary seats and saw Sir Keir Starmer walk through the famous door to 10 Downing Street as the new Prime Minister at the head of a Labour Government. Locally, our own long-serving Member of Parliament, John Baron, C.B.E., retired after 23 years service. Richard Holden, outgoing MP for North-West Durham and then Conservative Party Chairman, stood in the seat to succeed him, but won with only a rather sobering majority of just 20 votes, where John's majority had previously been over 20,000. My friend Stephen Metcalfe, formerly MP for South Basildon & East Thurrock, sadly lost his seat to a Reform candidate (who, it later turned out, had criminal convictions for assaulting his ex-partner). 

 

To be honest, I could probably write an entirely separate blog just on the subject of the Tory Party's sad and sudden descent into the political wilderness, so I have not the heart to write it here. Suffice it to say, coming so soon after the heady days of 2019, when Boris Johnson won us an 80-seat majority, to watch the party I love and have devoted myself to implode in such a spectacular fashion was far from being one of this year's highlights.  

The horrific election result has necessarily led to an ongoing period of reflection and introspection within the Conservative Party. Following Mr. Sunak's inevitable resignation, the Party held a leadership election, which has resulted in the Rt. Hon. Kemi Badenoch, M.P. (Con, N-W Essex) taking up the reigns - becoming the fourth female Tory leader and the first black leader of a major British political party (those 'racist, misogynist Tories' strike again). In a social media post that aged like milk, I declared for James Cleverly the day he was eliminated from the contest. Now that Mrs Badenoch is in post, she will have my undivided loyalty. She must unite the Party around her, as we begin to rebuild. The vital importance of this period of renewal can hardly be understated, as the consequences of this Labour Government begin to be felt throughout our communities. A renewed and refreshed Conservative Party is badly needed, and cannot come quickly enough.

 

Whether it is the attacks on pensioners and farmers, 'freebiegate' or the Sue Gray débâcle, Labour's apparent determination to completely dismantle the highly successful educational reforms of the past decade, or their threats to concrete all over our Green Belt, I cannot think of any other government in living memory that has come off the rails quite so quickly. They are a disaster. And, as the consequences of Rachel Reeves' budget really start to bite, things will only get worse under Labour.  

 

Closer to home

Locally, as always, Conservative councillors continued to work hard for residents. I started the year grappling with the threatened closure of the Billericay High Street Post Office, which had been based in the One Stop convenience store. Fortunately, through the good offices of John Baron, we held a number of constructive meetings with Post Office Limited and, with support of colleagues, were able to secure a new main counter service. I was pleased to see the Mayor of Basildon at the ribbon-cutting ceremony and services re-provided in the old Coleby's jewellers.

The other big issue looming over us, as it has for years, was the Local Plan. Following the decision of the Conservative Administration to withdraw the previous Submission Local Plan in 2022, the Council remained under pressure to deliver a new Local Plan. As Tories, we were girding ourselves for a fight, even with our own Government if needs be, to defend the Green Belt around Basildon Borough. We had some early successes and I was delighted in late January, when the Planning Inspectorate rejected the appeal against the Council's refusal to grant planning permission for 150 houses and a care home on Green Belt land off Potash Road. I was also able, with support from the Billericay Tree Wardens and the Norsey Wood Society, to secure the Norsey Road Woodland Order to protect the woodland within rear gardens abutting Norsey Wood. We also had Norsey Meadow designated a Local Nature Reserve, offering yet further protection.

Sadly, before we knew it, the May elections were upon us. A boundary review had taken place, altering some ward boundaries, which meant the Council had to be entirely reconstituted. It was Basildon's first 'all-in/all-out' elections in over 20 years. Both my ward colleagues - David Dadds and Stuart Sullivan - had represented Billericay East since the last 'all-out' but both retired this year. I was pleased to be joined by two new ward colleagues - Andy Barnes and Martyn Mordecai. I will confess, however, while I was pleased to be re-elected, it was particularly gratifying to top the poll, even though I was at the bottom of the ballot paper. This was my fifth election in Billericay East and I never take the result for granted. It was a humbling endorsement from my constituents, made the more poignant by the fact that I also became a father for the first time the same night (meaning I missed the election count for the first time in 14 years). 

My son, William, was born on May 2nd - Polling Day, of course! He is my first child, a little brother to my stepdaughter Poppy, and the whole family are completely smitten with him. This introduction of new life came after the sadness of March, when my dear friend, Luke Mackenzie, then Mayor of Basildon, passed away at the young age of just 37, after a brief but valiant battle with cancer. Luke and I were old friends and it was he who recruited me into politics in the first place. His death was a terrible personal blow, and a great loss to the Borough.  

The local election results were a disastrous foreshadowing of the General Election to come. Basildon Conservatives lost control of the Council, reduced to only 13 councillors. I have never known there be so few of us. The Tory Group is now the smallest since the late 1990s. Labour have taken up administration, backed as usual by Basildon's motley collection of 'Independents'. The national picture played its part, of course, but there is no denying the part played by our less than entirely successful changes to waste (ubiquitously known as 'bingate').  

The election necessarily brought an end to my time in Cabinet. I headed the Housing portfolio for 3 years. I am extremely proud of what I and my officers achieved over that period, particularly the creation of Nevendon Place - my homelessness facility in Pitsea. The Council also ended my appointment as a trustee of the Billericay Educational Trust, so I was pleased to re-join in a personal capacity. I am adjusting to my new role in Opposition, having been appointed to the Performance Scrutiny Committee and the Standards Committee.    

Labour's first act was to pension off the old Chief Executive and start restructuring the Council. They now have us borrowed up to the hilt to the tune of millions, which they ploughed into buying up real estate in Basildon. Like their Westminster counterparts, Basildon Labour are never happier than when spending other people's money. I think we shall probably need to brace ourselves for a whacking rise in Council Tax come the budget-setting in February. Goodness only knows what will happen if they are successful in merging Basildon Borough with Thurrock, as is their stated aim.

Albeit now in Opposition, Conservative councillors continue to work hard. I finally got those street lights fixed between Crown Road and Jacksons Lane. Thanks are also due to my county colleague, Cllr. Anthony Hedley (Con, Billericay & Burstead), for finally securing full resurfacing of Hillside Road, Chapel Street and Valley Road, all badly in need to investment for some time. It is also largely through his good offices, as former Cabinet Member for Business Engagement, that we have the Billericay Business Improvement District. We also saw the opening of the long-awaited new play area and skate park in Lake Meadows, along with a state-of-the-art Changing Places toilet facility. Colleagues and I are still lobbying for improvements to local bus services, as well as raising residents' concerns about the proposed National Grid pylons, and closure of South Green GP Surgery. Nothing, however, will be more important than fighting Labour's new Draft Local Plan for 27,000 homes (grossly in excess of realistic local need). The Regulation 18 consultation is due to end on January 12th.    

Looking forward

We have sound mountains to climb in 2025. With no borough elections scheduled this year (and an increasing likelihood that the scheduled county elections will be cancelled as part of Labour's proposed reorganisation of local government), Labour have control of the council in Basildon and of the government in Westminster, and they have the time to inflict their terrible plans. But we shall continue to fight the good fight. There will be challenges ahead but, working together, I know we can continue to achieve good things. 

I wish all of you in Billericay East, or wheresoever you may be, all the best for a very Happy, healthy and prosperous New Year.

New Draft Local Plan

Reg 18 Consultation now open

The latest and possibly last chapter in the long-running saga of Basildon's Local Plan is about to commence. 

At a meeting of Full Council last week, Basildon borough councillors voted in favour of putting the new Draft Local Plan out to the Regulation 18 public consultation. This was voted for by the Labour Group and their 'Independent' backers in Basildon and Wickford. Basildon Conservatives voted against. We are not against a public consultation, obviously, but we refuse to even tacitly endorse what is a terrible plan - far worse than the plan we voted to withdraw in 2022. 

Even the Labour Cabinet Member for Planning & Infrastructure, Cllr. Adele Brown (Lab, Fryerns) admitted in her speech, voting for the Reg 18 makes it "our plan" and, as I told her at the meeting, it's certainly not my plan. I don't want her rotten plan and nor do my constituents! 

"...It's certainly not my plan. I don't want her rotten plan and nor do my constituents!"

Ultimately, the difference between Conservative councillors and Labour/Indies, is quite simple. We have been prepared to fight against inflated housing targets being imposed on us by Central Government - even when that meant taking the fight to our own party in Westminster. The Labour Group are not prepared to have that fight with their government. The arguments from Cllrs. Gavin Callaghan (Lab, St. Martin's), Kerry Smith (Ind, Nethermayne) and David Harrison (W/Ind, Wickford Park) were, in essence, 'If we don't accept it, Westminster will intervene to impose it on us'. They have thrown in the towel, and want all of us to roll over and have our tummies tickled. Well, I voted to tell Angela Rayner to get knotted!  

As I said in the meeting, Councillor Brown and I served together for many years on the Planning Committee, so I know she has always been a true believer in the mantra that we need to 'Build! Build! Build!', in the misguided belief that if we just pass a developers' charter and let them flood the Borough with new homes, this will somehow bring down property prices and boost affordability. If I thought that was on the cards, I might be tempted to vote for it myself. There is a housing crisis, and it is largely an affordability crisis. But there is no evidence to support the contention that simply granting permission for more homes (mostly in the irreplaceable Green Belt) will bring down house prices. The developers will never allow that to happen. They are already sitting on scores of extant planning permissions Basildon Council has granted them, yet they refuse to build them out. Why? Because they want to maintain high prices, increase their profits, and continue to put pressure on Local Planning Authorities like Basildon to release Green Belt land in local plans, because it is cheaper to develop and means increased profits for them.

Nobody will get any disagreement from me that we need more homes. After 3 years as Cabinet Member for Housing, I am well aware of the acute need for more homes. I actually built a few myself! We just do not need anything like as many as the 27,000 this Draft Local Plan proposes. We certainly do not need to despoil hundreds of hectares of Green Belt to build them. Apart from anything else, this plan will not deliver the type of housing we need most urgently, which is council housing. Instead, it will allow developers to churn up the green fields of Billericay and Wickford to build posh executive homes nobody who lives here can afford, and cram our town centres in Basildon, Laindon and Pitsea with high-rise rabbit hutches nobody in their right mind wants to live in.

"There is a housing crisis, and it is largely an affordability crisis. But there is no evidence to support the contention that simply granting permission for more homes (mostly in the irreplaceable Green Belt) will bring down house prices."

Fundamentally, Basildon Conservatives voted to withdraw the old Submission Local Plan because we rejected the then Government's faulty logic, and their soulless one-size-fits-all algorithm. We sought independent advice from legal counsel on whether we could withdraw the plan and were told that we could. Given the clear steer councillors were getting from their constituents, and the mood music coming out of Central Government in respect of planning reform, Conservative councillors felt emboldened and resolved to fight against the scale of Green Belt loss we felt was being imposed upon us. The current Administration, sadly, are not interested in that fight.    

Planning became an increasingly vexed question towards the end of the last Government, and with good reasons. I served on the Planning Committee, on and off, for about 7 years. I can think of few things in this country more entirely broken than our wholly dysfunctional planning system. There are a myriad of ways in which it simply does not work. The whole Local Plan preparation process is just one of them.  

The starting point is an 'Objectively Assessed Need' (OAN) - a number, conjured as part of some faceless calculation based on a 'Standard Methodology'. It results in a housing target several orders of magnitude beyond actual local need. The latest Draft Local Plan calls for more than 27,000 new homes to be built over the next 20 years, approximately 17,000 of them in the Green Belt. It amounts to building a whole new town the size of Billericay and Wickford combined. 

"I can think of few things in this country more entirely broken than our wholly dysfunctional planning system."

I believe this plan is unsound, undeliverable and unsustainable. The way in which necessary infrastructure to mitigate the impact of all these developments is to be delivered is yet another area in which current planning processes fail us. Section 106 agreements - which identify 'commuted sums' developers must pay towards provision of infrastructure - are manifestly inadequate. The s.106 requirements do not kick in until a development is already built and people start to move into it - assuming developers do not find some cunning device by which to wriggle out of their responsibilities in the meantime. What little infrastructure is delivered, comes in dribs and drabs and far too late. 

But the die is now cast and battle must be joined. The Reg 18 is now open (link below). Residents have until January 12th, 2025 to submit comments. Although I voted against putting this plan to consultation, because I think it is a bad plan, this is what the Administration is presenting to you. I urge all residents to take the opportunity to have your say and give your views. Please share the consultation with family, friends and neighbours. We need a bumper response from Billericay to ensure this town's voice is heard loud and clear, not just at the Basildon Centre but in the halls of the Planning Inspectorate in Bristol!  

Have Your Say Today - Basildon Local Plan - Commonplace

This is a bad plan, not just for Billericay but for the whole Borough. Even if you do not have a proposed development site near you, you will be affected. This plan will determine the future of this Borough for the next 20 years. As things stand, it could be a future marked by buckling infrastructure, pressure on schools, pressure on GP services, dentists, roads, the railways, parking, our whole quality of life. Nothing will be left untouched by this scale of growth. This is not our first rodeo, folks, and I know we are all tired of the poxy Local Plan and these interminable consultations, but now is not the time to let up. 

The Battle for the Green Belt is now at hand. So it begins...

Conservative Leadership 2024: Post-Conference Update

MPs move towards third ballot

The remaining four candidates set out their stalls at the Party Conference in Birmingham

I did not attend the Conservative Party Conference this year (in truth, I haven’t been in years) but this conference represented a major milestone in the 2024 Conservative Leadership Election, as the four remaining candidates to replace Rishi Sunak set out their respective stalls to the Party faithful last week.

The importance of this stage of the contest can hardly be overstated. It is not a regular feature of Tory leadership elections but the last time it happened it was considered quite decisive. For this, one must cast one’s mind back nearly 20 years, to the 2005 Leadership Election. David Davis entered that contest looking like the ‘obvious successor’ to outgoing leader Michael Howard. Then, as now, we were in Opposition and candidates were vying to become the next Leader of the Opposition.

At the 2005 conference in Blackpool, Mr. Davis delivered his big speech but was widely perceived to have performed poorly. I watched the speech, and I would say it was competent but underwhelming. Meanwhile, Mr. Davis’ younger rival, David Cameron, gave a barnstormer of a speech, delivered without notes, and Mr. Cameron ultimately left Blackpool as the darling of Conference. It led to a steep turnaround in their relative chances. That morning, Mr. Davis had been the clear favourite, with Mr. Cameron trailing in third place behind Kenneth Clarke. By that same evening, the bookies had Mr. Cameron as the odds-on frontrunner. As we all know, Mr. Cameron went on to win the leadership and, in due course, the 2010 and 2015 general elections.

I have tagged each speaker with a link to their speech on YouTube.

The first up on the main stage in Birmingham last week was Shadow Security Minister Tom Tugendhat. I would characterise the Colonel’s speech as brimming with sincerity and high purpose, but a bit of a damp squib, in that it lacked that ‘wow’ factor he really needed to deliver at this stage of the contest. It was a bit like one of those fireworks, that goes up making all the right noises, only to fizzle out with an anticlimactic ‘pop’. His relative lack of experience speaking at this level probably showed. I anticipate that the Colonel will be the first to be eliminated when MPs vote this week, but he can hold his head up high, having fought a plucky rearguard action and I suspect he will feature prominently in the Shadow Cabinet of whomever succeeds Mr. Sunak.

Next up was Shadow Home Secretary James Cleverly. His speech is being widely touted as the break-out performance of the match. Colonel Cleverly, who came in third place in the first two MP ballots in September, has steadily been building momentum and delivered an assured performance. He is probably the most experienced of the remaining four candidates, as I outlined in my previous blog. He also wins the prize for the best jokes, particularly a good line about being mobilised as a reservist and assuming he would be sent to Baghdad or Basra and being sent… to Luton. Although he arrived in Birmingham trailing behind Mr. Jenrick and Mrs Badenoch, the Colonel left Conference with a spring in his step and the wind in his sails and is now the bookies’ favourite to make it into the final two with Mr. Jenrick. Colonel Cleverly actually came to Billericay on Friday and addressed members of the Basildon & Billericay Conservative Association and he was very impressive.

Former Immigration Minister Robert Jenrick was the penultimate speaker, currently seen as the frontrunner and, at 42 years of age, the youngest of the candidates. Mr. Jenrick is an interesting guy. Formerly seen as a broadly centrist politician, he has recently manœuvred himself to the right of the Party, shouldering past more established figures like Suella Braverman and Dame Priti Patel. He gave a strong performance in Birmingham, and he too put in appearance in Billericay, a week or so before Colonel Cleverly. On both occasions, he majored on immigration and leaving the European Convention on Human Rights. If I am being brutally honest, I worry that Mr. Jenrick is a bit of a one-trick pony on immigration, and I cannot say I found myself entirely convinced that leaving the ECHR is the kind of panacea he seems to think it is. I would not say his speech was a gamechanger. He delivered it without notes or autocue, but it did not lift the roof off Conference like Cameron in ’05.

The final speaker was Shadow Housing Secretary Kemi Badenoch, who is in many ways the ‘firebrand’ candidate in this contest. She gave an uncompromisingly robust speech, centred around hard truths and the need to renew both the Tory Party and the country. There is no denying the attractiveness of her plain-speaking, no-nonsense attitude. My only concern remains a worry that she is just too enmeshed in culture wars that turn off, or simply do not interest, huge sections of the electorate. She dropped a couple of clangers at Conference, seeming to oppose maternity pay (comments she later clarified) and suggesting some civil servants wanted ‘locking up’. But her pitch on stage went well and I suspect she will have been happy with how it went down in the hall.

The ball now goes back into the MPs’ court, with a further ballot this afternoon to reduce the remaining four to three, then another ballot tomorrow, which will give us the final two, who will be presented to the Party membership.

I saw an analysis somewhere (apologies, I can’t remember where, so cannot attribute) that compared the process to the ‘Sorting Hat’ in “Harry Potter”. In this analysis, Colonel Tugendhat was ‘Ravenclaw’ for his intellect and attention to detail. Colonel Cleverly was ‘Hufflepuff’ for his steadfastness and Party loyalty. Mr. Jenrick was ‘Slytherin’ for his cunning and ambition. While Mrs Badenoch was ‘Gryffindor’ for her courage and indefatigability. I think I would broadly subscribe to that. All four candidates have great strengths.

I shall be lobbying our local MP, Richard Holden, to support James Cleverly. We should get the results of the penultimate MPs’ ballot at 3:30 p.m. and then the final ballot ahead of the membership vote will take place tomorrow. 

Billericay Post Office latest

 

Light at the end of the tunnel

Andrew has continued to plug away at this with Post Office Ltd. and Basildon Council officers. 

It has been a while since I posted my last update on the Billericay High Street Post Office back in March but I can assure you all that activity has continued behind the scenes and I wanted to give residents a further update on progress so far. 

Obviously, one big advent since my last update has been the General Election and I want to place on record my thanks to our former MP, John Baron, for all his efforts and for facilitating our meetings with the Post Office. I also remain indebted to Jim Sims, Head of Economic Development at Basildon Council, who has been of inestimable assistance in helping find a way forward to secure continuation of a main Post Office counter service in our High Street. 

Firstly, my apologies to those who have been understandably concerned about the future of the service and frustrated by how little information I have been able to share. I hope residents will appreciate that there are commercial sensitivities until such time as Post Office Limited formally exchange contracts with any potential future postmaster and this limits what I am am able to confirm publicly until all relevant parties have officially signed on the dotted line. 

I am aware that many of you have spoken to the existing Post Office staff at the One Stop, who are unaware of what is happening and what the future holds. I know this has been a matter of huge concern to many residents. It is very regrettable and I have communicated this directly to the Post Office. Unfortunately, this is out of their hands, as the existing staff are employed by One Stop, who are responsible for the information that is shared with their staff. I am assured by the Post Office that they have informed One Stop that an application is progressing to transfer the service to a new location and have suggested that they share this update with their staff but this is, ultimately, a matter for One Stop. Obviously, it is also necessarily the case that any future hiring of staff at the new Post Office will likewise be a matter for the new postmaster once they take over the role from One Stop.  

I can reassure residents that Post Office Limited remains committed to maintaining a full counter service in Billericay High Street when the current branch closes in November. Having advertised the opportunity and having received a number of applications, I am happy to report that negotiations with one of the applicants is now at an advanced stage. Some of you probably think you already know where this is (I have seen speculation on the Billericay Discussion Page) and you may well be right but I am unable to confirm until contracts are signed (God forbid I should jinx it). As soon as this happens, an announcement will be made.  

There are still one or two details to be ironed out but I look forward to being able to share a positive announcement very shortly and we hope to be able to secure the Mayor of Basildon to come and officially open the new Billericay High Street Post Office in due course. 

This has been a lengthy collaborative process between the Post Office, Basildon Council and Billericay Town Council over the past 12-18 months, working together to try and do all we can to secure a replacement postmaster. It has been a challenging process at times, as the bureaucracy surrounding the arrangements has been out of this world. It has required the alignment of a suitable premises, with a willing and suitable postmaster, approval of both the Royal Mail and Post Office Limited, and access to capital funding (which has been appreciably constrained since the Horizon IT scandal). We are not yet at the finish line but, after periods where things looked a little touch and go, it does now appear to be heaving into view.

I will, of course, continue to provide updates as and when I can.

Conservative Leadership 2024

The race to replace Rishi is underway

The runners and riders in the 2024 Conservative leadership contest.

 

As in July 2022, I have decided to do a 'Runner & Riders' blog for the Conservative leadership election. This is despite two big changes since then. Firstly, and most obviously, unlike previous Tory leadership elections, this one will not be a race to select the next Prime Minister. In fact, this is the first time in 19 years that the Conservative Party has picked a leader who has not gone on to immediately become PM (not since David Cameron replaced Michael Howard).

The person the Party chooses will, instead, become the Leader of His Majesty’s Loyal Opposition, following our catastrophic defeat in the General Election in July. It is, in essence, an election to determine who gets to preside over the ashes of our once great party and, hopefully, begin the process of renewal.

Secondly, I write about the contest from a curious perspective, as since the last contest in 2022, I have reached the conclusion that Party members, such as myself, should not have a vote on the leadership. I have come to believe that the Parliamentary Conservative Party (i.e. the MPs themselves) should be the ones to pick the Party Leader. Ultimately, the Leader must, first and foremost, lead our MPs as a group in Westminster. The membership has a nasty habit of electing leaders who appeals to them personally and to their sensibilities, rather than picking a leader who can command the support of our MPs and potentially appeal to the broader electorate. The Conservative Group on Basildon Council elect a leader. This process is not opened up to the wider Party membership locally! The sole qualification needed to become Prime Minister is to command the support of a majority of MPs in the House of Commons. It is essential, therefore, that the Conservative Leader commands the support of a majority of his or her own MPs.

As such, whilst I shall undoubtedly vote – on the principle that I have always voted in every election in which I am entitled to vote – I shall almost certainly use my vote to support the candidate with majority support within the Parliamentary Party. I think it would be sensible to change the rules, so that MPs elect the Party Leader and the membership, instead, directly elect the Party Chairman. But, until that happens, I shall continue to engage in the current process.

This part of the election is governed by the 1922 Committee (the main decision-making body of the Parliamentary Conservative Party). Their new Chairman, Bob Blackman, M.P., announced the close of nominations on July 29th, with six candidates nominated. These candidates are spending the Summer Recess setting out their stall to Party members across the country.

When Parliament returns on September 4^th, Tory MPs will narrow the field down to four candidates through a series of hustings. The ‘Final Four’ will be announced on September 11^th and will go on to make a final pitch to the membership at the annual Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham between September 29^th and October 2^nd.

Following Party Conference, MPs will finally whittle the field down to just two candidates, to be announced by October 11^th.

That will end the parliamentary process and the process will be taken over by the Party Board, who will present the last two candidates to a ballot of qualified Party members. Their choice will then be announced by the Chairman of the 1922, and that person will then formally replace Rishi Sunak as Leader of the Opposition.

Gratifyingly, half of the candidates are Essex MPs!  

The Runners & Riders:

 

KEMI BADENOCH

The Rt. Hon. Kemi Badenoch, M.P. is 44 years old and has been MP for North-West Essex (previously Saffron Walden) since 2017. She is currently the Shadow Housing Secretary.

She began her ministerial career under Boris Johnson, who appointed her a Parliamentary Under-Secretary at the Department for Education in 2019. Mr. Johnson later promoted her to Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury in 2020 and also gave her the Equalities brief. In 2021, she was made a Minister in the Department for Levelling Up, Housing & Communities. The following year Liz Truss raised her to Cabinet rank as International Trade Secretary, a position she retained under Rishi Sunak, who added Business to her portfolio. Mr. Sunak also re-appointed her Minister for Women & Equalities, a role in which she has been particularly outspoken, for example refuting ‘critical race theory’.  

Mrs Badenoch was also a candidate in 2022, when Mr. Johnson resigned, but was eliminated in the fourth ballot. Now, as then, I generally find her quite impressive. I met her a few years ago at an event at CCHQ, where she talked passionately about her background. She was born in Wimbledon, where her late father worked as a GP. Her mother is a physiology professor. She spent part of her youth in her parents’ native Nigeria but was born and educated here in the UK. She returned here when she was 16, due to political instability in Nigeria. She worked for a time in a McDonald's before completing a Masters in Computer Engineering at Sussex and later obtained a law degree studying part-time at Birkbeck. She joined the Conservative Party at 25 and worked in IT as a software engineer and systems analyst in financial services and was briefly a member of the London Assembly before being elected to Parliament. She was a Brexiteer and is on the right of the Party. She is married to Hamish Badenoch, a banker and former Tory councillor in Merton, and together they have two daughters and a son. She is agnostic.

Mrs Badenoch was among the less experienced candidates in 2022 and is probably still the least experienced of the six, but this time around is widely considered a frontrunner. Her endorsements include Dr. Alex Burghart (Brentwood & Ongar) and Julia Lopez (Hornchurch & Upminster). Personally, I worry that she is a little too immersed in the ‘culture wars’ at a time when we need to be laser-focused on rebuilding and broadening our appeal to the wider electorate.

  

JAMES CLEVERLY ***ELIMINATED IN THE FOURTH BALLOT***

Lt.-Col. the Rt. Hon. James Cleverly, T.D., V.R., M.P. is 54 years old and has been MP for Braintree since 2015 and is currently Shadow Home Secretary.

He began his ministerial career under Theresa May, who appointed him a Parliamentary Under-Secretary at the Department for Exiting the European Union in 2019. He then served under Boris Johnson as Party Chairman, with a seat in the Cabinet, and later as a Minister in the Foreign Office for more than 2 years, until he was brought back into the Cabinet as Education Secretary. Liz Truss then promoted him as the first ever black Foreign Secretary, a Great Office of State that he retained under Rishi Sunak. When the former Prime Minister, Lord Cameron of Chipping Norton, was appointed to the post in a reshuffle, Colonel Cleverly was moved sideways to become Home Secretary.

This is the Colonel's first run at the leadership. He was born in Lewisham to an English father and Sierra Leonean mother, who worked as a midwife. He studied Hospitality Management at Ealing College and later worked in publishing. He also became a Royal Artillery reservist and is currently a staff officer with the 1^st Armoured Division based at Woolwich, and holds the active rank of lieutenant-colonel. In 2008, he was elected to the London Assembly and was re-elected in 2012 prior to his election to Parliament. He was a Brexiteer and is largely a centrist figure. He is married to Susannah, a cancer survivor, with whom he has two sons. The family live in Blackheath.

Colonel Cleverly was the first to declare his candidacy and his endorsements include Peter Fortune (Bromley & Biggin Hill) and Gagan Mohindra (South-West Hertfordshire). At the risk of giving him the kiss of death, at this point he would be my own first choice. He was among the more competent and polished performers of the last Government and a good public speaker with sound Conservative instincts.

 

ROBERT JENRICK

The Rt. Hon. Robert Jenrick, M.P. is 42 years old (making him the youngest candidate) and has been MP for Newark in Nottinghamshire since 2015. He famously resigned as Rishi Sunak’s Immigration Minister in December 2023.

He had previously served as Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury under Theresa May before joining Boris Johnson’s Cabinet as Communities Secretary in 2019, until he was dismissed as part of the reshuffle in September 2021. Mr. Jenrick returned to government under Liz Truss in 2022, when she appointed him a Minister at the Department of Health. As Mr. Sunak’s Immigration Minister, he attended Cabinet but ultimately resigned over his strong disagreements with the Prime Minister over the Rwanda plan (feeling the Government was not going far enough).

This is Mr. Jenrick’s first run at the leadership. He was born in Wolverhampton and grew up in the West Midlands. He read History at St. John’s College, Cambridge and the University of Pennsylvania in the US. He subsequently obtained a law degree and qualified as a solicitor, practicing corporate law. Prior to his election to Parliament, he was a director of Christie’s, the London auction house. He was a Brexiteer and is firmly on the right of the Party. His wife, Michal, was born in Israel and is also a corporate lawyer. They have three daughters, who they are raising in the Jewish faith, and reside at Eye Manor in Herefordshire.

Mr. Jenrick’s endorsements include Sir John Hayes (South Holland & The Deepings) and Esther McVey (Tatton), as well as the Father of the House of Commons, Sir Edward Leigh (Gainsborough). Personally, I worry he is an overly ideological figure, who is too focussed on wooing Reform-voters to successfully rebuild the Conservative Party as the sort of broad coalition it needs to be if it is to regain power.

 

DAME PRITI PATEL ***ELIMINATED IN THE FIRST BALLOT***

The Rt. Hon. Dame Priti Patel, D.B.E., M.P. is 52 years old and has been MP for Witham since 2010. She was Home Secretary under Boris Johnson and was made a dame in his Resignation Honours List.

She is the only candidate not to have served in the Sunak Ministry. She began her ministerial career under David Cameron, who appointed her Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury in 2014, later promoting her to Minister for Employment in the Department for Work & Pensions. Theresa May brought her into the Cabinet as International Development Secretary in 2016.

This is Dame Priti’s first run at the leadership and if Mr. Jenrick is seen as a candidate of the Right then Dame Priti is surely Jenrick on steroids! She was born in London to Gujarati Hindu parents, who were driven out of Uganda by Idi Amin. The family later ran a newsagent in Hertfordshire. She grew up in Watford and read Economics at Keele before pursuing postgraduate studies in Politics at Essex. She is a dyed-in-the-wool Thatcherite and joined the Party in 1991, later working as an intern at Central Office. A lifelong Brexiteer, she became involved in the Referendum Party in the mid-‘90s before rejoining the Tories in ‘97 and working for William Hague as a press officer. She then worked in PR in the private sector before being elected to Parliament. She is married to Alex Sawyer, a marketing consultant and Tory councillor in Bexley. They have a son together.  

Dame Priti’s endorsements include Sir Alec Shelbrooke (Wetherby & Easingwold) and former MP Dame Andrea Jenkyns. The latter endorsement alone ought, in my view, to cast serious doubt on her suitability (Dame Andrea is a cask-strength crank). Whilst I have great respect for Dame Priti, her politics are very different to mine. I am a personal admirer of the late Lady Thatcher but have never considered myself a ‘Thatcherite’ politically, and I would struggle to support a candidate who, for instance, favours the restoration of the death penalty. I cannot see her leading the Party back to a position of electability.

 

MEL STRIDE ***ELIMINATED IN THE SECOND BALLOT***

The Rt. Hon. Mel Stride, M.P. is 62 years old (making him the oldest candidate) and has been MP for Central Devon since 2010 and is currently Shadow Work & Pensions Secretary.

He served in the Whips’ Office under both David Cameron and Theresa May, until the latter appointed him as Paymaster-General and Financial Secretary to the Treasury in 2017. Lady May later made him Lord President of the Council and Leader of the House of Commons and latterly he was Work & Pensions Secretary under Rishi Sunak.  

Mr. Stride is probably the ‘dark horse’ of this election, as possibly the candidate least well-known to the general public. He was born in Ealing and educated in Portsmouth. He read PPE at St. Edmund Hall, Oxford, where he was President of the Oxford Union. He is married to Michelle and has three daughters. He and Mrs Stride ran a marketing firm together prior to his election to Parliament.

Mr. Stride’s endorsements include Commander Andrew Murrison (South-West Wiltshire) and Sir Desmond Swayne (New Forest West). He is a close and trusted ally of Mr. Sunak and widely seen as a safe pair of hands. He was a good media performer and is a centrist politically. But I am not sure if he has the public profile to take us forward.   

 

TOM TUGENDHAT ***ELIMINATED IN THE THIRD BALLOT***

Lt.-Col. the Rt. Hon. Tom Tugendhat, M.B.E., V.R., M.P. is 51 years old and has been MP for Tonbridge (previously Tonbridge & Malling) since 2015 and is currently Shadow Security Minister.

He has the least ministerial experience of any of the candidates, having previously served for 5 years as Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee before joining the frontbench. He pitched for the leadership in 2022, following the resignation of Boris Johnson and was eliminated in the third round. Afterwards Liz Truss appointed him Minister for Security, a role he retained under Rishi Sunak.

Colonel Tugendhat was born in Westminster and is the son of retired High Court judge, the Hon. Mr. Justice (Sir Michael) Tugendhat. He is also a nephew of the businessman and Tory peer, Lord Tugendhat. He attended public school and later read theology at Bristol before undertaking a Masters in Islamic Studies at Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge (learning to speak Arabic in the Yemen). He served in the Territorial Army, firstly in the Adjutant General’s Corps and later transferred to the Intelligence Corps, rising to the rank of lieutenant-colonel. He saw active service in Iraq and Afghanistan and was a military assistant to the Chief of the Defence Staff. Colonel Tugendhat was made an MBE (military division) in 2009 and retired from active service in 2013. He is married to senior French civil servant Anissia Morel and, although he has Jewish ancestry, is a practicing Roman Catholic. The couple have two children.

Colonel Tugendhat is the only former Remainer among the candidates and is generally seen as part of the ‘liberal’ wing and probably the main candidate for that particular constituency within the Party, but his supporters include prominent Brexiteers. His endorsements include Dame Karen Bradley (Staffordshire Moorlands), Nick Timothy (West Suffolk), as well as former MPs Steve Baker, Sir Jake Berry, Damian Green, not to mention Kenneth, Lord Clarke of Nottingham. The Colonel is clearly a highly capable and intellectual candidate, but he is the ‘flip-side candidate’ to Mr. Jenrick and Dame Priti Patel. Like them, I fear he is too ideological. He is so far on the ideological left of the Party that I struggle to see how he can successfully unite us ahead of the next election.